TSM
BuyPremium GrowerAI pickTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology · Taiwan · $2.3T cap · $4.3B/day traded
$444.35 -2.0% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
StockRank down 2.2 since 13 Oct.
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Read our full research report on TSM (May 2026), freeReport expected 15 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 8.1% over the last 14 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is 80/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 85, Value 21, Momentum 70, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
TSMC manufactures the large majority of the world's leading-edge chips, including the accelerators behind AI data centres, and its lead at 3nm and the coming 2nm node has no practical rival: Samsung and Intel have repeatedly failed to match its yields. That position gives it pricing power, returns on capital that are exceptional for a manufacturer, and a reinvestment runway as AI spending keeps accelerating, with a second US site reportedly under consideration to deepen customer and government support. Earnings growth has been strong enough that the valuation is reasonable relative to growth even though it screens expensive on simple multiples, and recent insider activity is negligible in either direction.
ABOUT TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING COMPANY LIMITED
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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is the world's largest dedicated independent semiconductor foundry, providing advanced integrated circuit manufacturing services to fabless design companies. It maintains a dominant market position due to its technological leadership in leading-edge process nodes and massive capital investments, acting as a critical supplier for major global tech companies.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 70.4B | 67.2B | 90.0B | 118.5B | 18.9% | 139.1B | 169.6B | 229.5B | 39.2% |
| EPS | 30.48 | 25.15 | 35.19 | 51.52 | 19.1% | 13.76 | 82.04 | — | 59.2% |
| Shares | 5.2B | 5.2B | 5.2B | 5.2B | 0.0% | 5.2B | — | — | — |
| Debt | 27.6B | 29.7B | 32.6B | 33.1B | 6.2% | 33.5B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 90.3B | 106.7B | 132.0B | 166.6B | 22.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 50.1B | 38.6B | 56.8B | 70.8B | 12.2% | 82.6B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -37.0B | -28.2B | -26.9B | -35.6B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -6.2B | -6.4B | -10.8B | -13.7B | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 9% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 52% of stocks we rank over the past year (40% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Technology, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of TSM are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited(you) | $2.3T | 80 | Buy |
| SKHY | SK hynix Inc. | $1.3T | 80 | Strong Buy |
| 1YD.DE | Broadcom Inc. | $1.7T | 72 | Buy |
| A1MD34.SA | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | $998.0B | 78 | Buy |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | $5.4T | 90 | Strong Buy |
| MUTC34.SA | Micron Technology, Inc. | $1.2T | 98 | Strong Buy |
| TEXA34.SA | Texas Instruments Incorporated | $259.2B | 84 | Strong Buy |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | $210.7B | 77 | Buy |
| 2454.TW | MediaTek Inc. | $265.2B | 70 | Buy |
| ANL.DE | Analog Devices, Inc. | $195.7B | 76 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.4% · P/E 29.0x · Gross margin 33.3%
Company Deep Dive
Read the full research report: business segments breakdown, earnings transcripts review, management credibility analysis, competitive landscape, and scenarios.