VNO
Hot AirVornado Realty Trust · Real Estate · United States · $6.9B cap · $50.7M/day traded
$34.71 -1.4% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Score down 1.0 since 12 Nov.
Hot Air: Strong momentum and nothing else: weak business, rich price.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) is 45/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 43, Value 30, Momentum 65, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT VORNADO REALTY TRUST
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Vornado Realty Trust is a fully integrated REIT specializing in the ownership, management, acquisition, and development of high-quality office and street retail properties, primarily concentrated in New York City. Its competitive moat stems from its portfolio of prime assets located in highly desirable, supply-constrained urban markets, ensuring enduring demand and significant barriers to entry for new competitors. Vornado is a leading REIT known for its strategic focus on marquee properties in core gateway cities, prioritizing long-term asset value.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.8B | 1.8B | 1.8B | 1.8B | 0.2% | 1.9B | 1.9B | 2.0B | 5.8% |
| EPS | -2.13 | 0.23 | 0.04 | 4.40 | 337.4% | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Shares | 191.9M | 190.4M | 190.8M | 190.7M | -0.6% | 187.0M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 9.1B | 9.0B | 9.0B | 7.9B | -4.8% | 8.2B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 5.8B | 5.5B | 5.2B | 6.0B | 0.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 798.9M | 648.2M | 537.7M | 1.3B | 16.3% | 409.3M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -906.9M | -128.8M | -597.4M | 115.5M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -801.3M | -278.9M | -252.3M | -1.3B | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 17% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 68% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 33% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend (this stock): It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of VNO are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust(you) | $6.9B | 45 |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | $7.4B | 44 |
| BXP | BXP, Inc. | $11.2B | 40 |
| KRC | Kilroy Realty Corporation | $4.4B | 51 |
| SLG | SL Green Realty Corp. | $3.8B | 36 |
| CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | $4.8B | 60 |
| CDP | COPT Defense Properties | $3.9B | 65 |
| HIW | Highwoods Properties, Inc. | $3.4B | 65 |
| ESBA | Empire State Realty OP, L.P. | $1.3B | 48 |
| PDM | Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. | $1.2B | 48 |
Peer medians: ROE 4.3% · P/E 23.9x · Gross margin 65.7%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.