000796.SZ
SinkerCaissa Tourism Group Co., Ltd. · Consumer Cyclical · China · $786M cap · $14.0M/day traded
CNY 3.33 -1.2% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Sinker: Weak business, rich price and weak momentum. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Caissa Tourism Group Co., Ltd. (000796.SZ) is 6/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 34, Value 17, Momentum 24, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT CAISSA TOURISM GROUP CO., LTD.
Read
Caissa Tourism Group Co., Ltd. is a prominent Chinese travel services provider, specializing in premium outbound tourism, corporate travel, and sports tourism. The company has strategically expanded into high-margin aviation and railway catering, as well as duty-free retail operations, to diversify its revenue streams. Its strong brand reputation and deep partnerships with global tourism boards form a resilient competitive position in the leisure travel sector.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (CNY)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 306.5M | 582.1M | 653.3M | 799.4M | 37.6% | 973.0M |
| EPS (CNY) | -0.65 | 0.38 | -0.07 | 0.02 | -77.0% | 0.02 |
| Shares | 803.0M | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.6B | +99.7% | 1.6B |
| Debt | 1.5B | 302.1M | 248.9M | 220.2M | -47.2% | 301.6M |
| Equity | -945.5M | 1.0B | 747.6M | 897.9M | -6.6% | — |
| Op CF | -383.4M | 392.6M | -177.1M | -94.3M | — | -34.3M |
| Inv CF | 55.0M | 2.3M | -3.7M | -70.9M | — | — |
| Fin CF | -31.3M | 12.1M | 491.3M | 87.9M | — | — |
No new 52-week low for 2 weeks, 8% above that low, but not back above a rising 50-day average.
Swung more than 62% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 50% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor (this stock): It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 000796.SZ are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 000796.SZ | Caissa Tourism Group Co., Ltd.(you) | $786M | 6 |
| 300859.SZ | Western Regions Tourism Development Co.,Ltd | $494M | 10 |
| 600576.SS | Zhejiang Sunriver Culture Tourism Co.,Ltd. | $754M | 19 |
| 000524.SZ | Guangzhou Lingnan Group Holdings Company Limited | $863M | 18 |
| 002707.SZ | UTour Group Co., Ltd. | $725M | 28 |
| 000888.SZ | Emei Shan Tourism Co.,Ltd | $718M | 41 |
| 603099.SS | Changbai Mountain Tourism Co., Ltd. | $1.5B | 30 |
| TOUR | Tuniu Corporation | $52M | 37 |
| 0780.HK | Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited | $3.0B | 75 |
| 300057.SZ | Shantou Wanshun New Material Group Co., Ltd. | $814M | 5 |
Peer medians: ROE 6.1% · P/E 23.2x · Gross margin 21.4%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.