000888.SZ
Fallen FavouriteEmei Shan Tourism Co.,Ltd · Consumer Cyclical · China · $718M cap · $30.0M/day traded
CNY 10.26 -2.9% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and its momentum is weak.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Emei Shan Tourism Co.,Ltd (000888.SZ) is 41/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 54, Value 35, Momentum 45, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT EMEI SHAN TOURISM CO.,LTD
Read
Emei Shan Tourism Co., Ltd. operates passenger cableways, hotels, and tourism services at Mount Emei, a UNESCO World Heritage site. The company holds exclusive operating rights to key tourism infrastructure at one of China's most popular Buddhist pilgrimage destinations. It is a high-margin, asset-heavy regional tourism operator with a natural geographic monopoly.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (CNY)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 431.1M | 1.0B | 1.0B | 933.5M | 29.4% | 866.4M | 891.5M | 936.0M | 0.1% |
| EPS (CNY) | -0.28 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.42 | -1.7% | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 2.6% |
| Shares | 526.9M | 526.9M | 526.9M | 526.9M | 0.0% | 526.9M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 486.1M | 519.6M | 514.2M | 213.2M | -24.0% | 213.4M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 2.3B | 2.5B | 2.6B | 2.7B | 5.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -12.7M | 473.9M | 358.6M | 354.7M | -13.5% | 245.1M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | 211.1M | -61.3M | -99.2M | -36.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -183.6M | 30.6M | -158.9M | -162.5M | — | — | — | — | — |
20% above its 52-week low and back above a rising 50-day average since 9 Nov 2026.
The Momentum score still reads 45: it weighs six months of price and earnings revisions, so it trails a turn like this.
Calmer than 64% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 34% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up (this stock): It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 000888.SZ are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 000888.SZ | Emei Shan Tourism Co.,Ltd(you) | $718M | 41 |
| 002707.SZ | UTour Group Co., Ltd. | $725M | 28 |
| 600576.SS | Zhejiang Sunriver Culture Tourism Co.,Ltd. | $754M | 19 |
| 603099.SS | Changbai Mountain Tourism Co., Ltd. | $1.5B | 30 |
| 000524.SZ | Guangzhou Lingnan Group Holdings Company Limited | $863M | 18 |
| 000796.SZ | Caissa Tourism Group Co., Ltd. | $786M | 6 |
| 300859.SZ | Western Regions Tourism Development Co.,Ltd | $494M | 10 |
| TOUR | Tuniu Corporation | $52M | 37 |
| 0780.HK | Tongcheng Travel Holdings Limited | $3.0B | 75 |
| 603511.SS | Aimer Co., Ltd. | $746M | 42 |
Peer medians: ROE 6.1% · P/E 23.2x · Gross margin 21.2%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.