ARLP
Full HouseAI neutralAlliance Resource Partners, L.P. · Energy · United States · $3.4B cap · $7.9M/day traded
$24.39 -1.1% · close 6 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, and the market agrees.
After its 26 Oct results, analysts raised next year's EPS estimate 4.6%.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP) is 92/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 70, Value 62, Momentum 65, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
Alliance Resource Partners is a US coal producer that also owns oil and gas mineral royalties, and pays a quarterly distribution of $0.60 per unit. Q2 2026 revenue beat estimates though earnings missed. High energy prices and power demand from data centres help thermal coal volumes near term, but coal is a commodity business in long-term decline in developed markets, with no pricing power.
The ranks quoted here are from the day it was written; today's Quality, Value and Momentum are the bars above.
ABOUT ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.
Read
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. is a diversified natural resource company primarily focused on the production and marketing of coal, alongside growing interests in oil and gas minerals management. The company benefits from its position as a low-cost producer, particularly in the Illinois Basin, securing long-term supply contracts and leveraging efficient transportation infrastructure. ARLP's competitive edge is enhanced by its strategic diversification into mineral royalty income, providing a more stable revenue stream amidst fluctuating energy markets.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.4B | 2.6B | 2.4B | 2.2B | -3.2% | 2.2B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 3.4% |
| EPS | 4.39 | 4.81 | 2.77 | 2.40 | -18.2% | 2.40 | 2.27 | 2.74 | 6.9% |
| Shares | 127.2M | 127.1M | 128.1M | 128.4M | +1.0% | 128.7M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 434.3M | 350.8M | 486.8M | 465.4M | 2.3% | 679.6M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 802.3M | 824.2M | 803.1M | 651.1M | -6.7% | 655.4M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -403.3M | -553.3M | -440.7M | -331.3M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -225.4M | -507.1M | -285.3M | -385.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 13% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 90% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 21% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of ARLP are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARLP | Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.(you) | $3.4B | 92 |
| NRP | Natural Resource Partners L.P. | $1.3B | 80 |
| CNR | Core Natural Resources, Inc. | $4.6B | 31 |
| BTU | Peabody Energy Corporation | $2.8B | 18 |
| PARR | Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | $3.9B | 99 |
| BSM | Black Stone Minerals, L.P. | $3.2B | 83 |
| LPG | Dorian LPG Ltd. | $2.3B | 95 |
| INSW | International Seaways, Inc. | $5.7B | 92 |
| KRP | Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP | $2.2B | 82 |
| CNX | CNX Resources Corporation | $5.4B | 83 |
Peer medians: ROE 10.2% · P/E 14.1x · Gross margin 45.5%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.