CTRE
Premium GrowerAI neutralCareTrust REIT, Inc. · Real Estate · United States · $8.7B cap · $117.4M/day traded
$38.07 -0.2% · close 13 Nov · scored 14 Nov
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
As of 14 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for CareTrust REIT, Inc. (CTRE) is 66/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 76, Value 23, Momentum 64, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
CareTrust REIT owns and finances skilled nursing and senior housing properties and is growing quickly, with a record $900M investment quarter, a $400M skilled nursing portfolio purchase and a reloaded $600M pipeline. Its operator selection has been strong, but growth depends on issuing equity at a premium valuation, and the shares are already priced as a best-in-class operator.
ABOUT CARETRUST REIT, INC.
Read
CareTrust REIT, Inc. is a self-managed real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the acquisition, leasing, and management of healthcare-related properties, predominantly skilled nursing facilities and senior housing. The company employs a triple-net lease structure to generate stable and predictable income streams from its diversified portfolio. Its specialized focus within the growing healthcare real estate sector provides a clear competitive advantage.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income and shares | |||||||||
| Revenue | 187.5M | 198.6M | 228.3M | 369.4M | 25.4% | 615.4M | 486.6M | 638.7M | 31.5% |
| Net margin | -4.0% | 27.1% | 54.8% | 86.8% | +90.8 pts | — | — | — | — |
| EPS | -0.03 | 0.50 | 0.81 | 1.57 | 77.2% | 1.59 | 1.99 | 2.17 | 17.6% |
| Share count | 236.2M | 130.0M | 187.0M | 222.7M | -1.9% | 257.7M | — | — | — |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||
| Debt | 719.5M | 595.6M | 396.9M | 894.2M | 7.5% | 2.1B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 849.4M | 1.4B | 2.9B | 4.0B | 68.1% | — | — | — | — |
| Debt/equity | 0.8x | 0.4x | 0.1x | 0.2x | -0.6x | — | — | — | — |
| Cash flow | |||||||||
| Op. cash flow | 144.4M | 154.8M | 244.3M | 394.0M | 39.7% | 501.0M | — | — | — |
| Cash flow margin | 77.0% | 77.9% | 107.0% | 106.7% | +29.7 pts | 81.4% | — | — | — |
| Investing CF | -127.4M | -267.8M | -1.5B | -1.5B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Financing CF | -23.7M | 394.3M | 1.2B | 1.1B | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Calmer than 83% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 25% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend (this stock): None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CTRE are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| CTRE | CareTrust REIT, Inc.(you) | $8.7B | 66 |
| OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. | $14.8B | 70 |
| DOC | Healthpeak Properties, Inc. | $13.6B | 56 |
| SBRA | Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | $5.0B | 55 |
| AHR | American Healthcare REIT, Inc. | $11.6B | 48 |
| NHI | National Health Investors, Inc. | $3.3B | 55 |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | $6.2B | 32 |
| LTC | LTC Properties, Inc. | $2.4B | 93 |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty Income Trust | $524M | 61 |
| MPT | Medical Properties Trust, Inc. | $1.6B | 36 |
Peer medians: ROE 4.2% · P/E 23.9x · Gross margin 65.4%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.