CXW
BuyHot AirAI neutralCoreCivic, Inc. · Industrials · United States · $3.2B
$31.82 +0.1% · close 7 Oct · scored 9 Oct
Hot Air: Rising on momentum alone: weak business, rich price.
Read our full research report on CXW (Jun 2026), freeDoes StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
CoreCivic runs private prisons and detention centres and is benefiting from higher federal immigration detention demand, which is lifting forward estimates and has funded a $500 million accelerated share repurchase. Against that, the CEO resigned for health reasons, making the new chief the third leader in a year; banks including Citizens are exiting its credit facilities; and the business depends on political contract decisions and faces ongoing reputational and legal scrutiny.
ABOUT CORECIVIC, INC.
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CoreCivic, Inc. is a diversified government solutions company that owns and operates correctional and detention facilities, and provides re-entry programs and residential treatment centers. The company benefits from long-term contracts with government agencies, its expertise in managing secure facilities, and its scale as a leading private correctional operator. CoreCivic is a dominant player in the private correctional and detention services industry, adapting its offerings to include rehabilitation and re-entry programs.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 1.8B | 1.9B | 2.0B | 2.2B | 6.2% | 2.5B | 2.7B | 2.9B | 15.1% |
| EPS | -0.43 | 1.03 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 1.09 | 1.9% | 1.26 | 1.67 | — | 53.0% |
| Shares | — | 115.0M | 112.7M | 109.9M | 100.1M | -13.0% | 98.9M | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | 1.4B | 1.2B | 1.0B | 1.4B | -0.9% | 1.4B | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.4B | -0.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | — | 153.6M | 231.9M | 269.2M | 194.6M | 8.2% | 200.2M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | — | 73.0M | -58.9M | -53.8M | -206.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | -375.2M | -206.2M | -222.2M | 1.8M | — | — | — | — | — |
Calmer than 51% of stocks we rank over the past year (41% a year).
How this is worked out
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Industrials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CXW are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc.(you) | $3.2B | 70 | Buy |
| BCO | The Brink's Company | $4.3B | 67 | Buy |
| GEO | The GEO Group, Inc. | $4.0B | 81 | Strong Buy |
| BRC | Brady Corporation | $3.9B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| MSA | MSA Safety Incorporated | $7.1B | 79 | Buy |
| NSSC | Napco Security Technologies, Inc. | $1.3B | 77 | Buy |
| ADT | ADT Inc. | $4.6B | 93 | Strong Buy |
| MG | Mistras Group, Inc. | $667M | 78 | Buy |
| NL | NLI Holdings, Inc. | $284M | 65 | Buy |
| CIX | CompX International Inc. | $440M | 99 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.9% · P/E 26.5x · Gross margin 29.3%
Company Deep Dive
Read the full research report: business segments breakdown, earnings transcripts review, management credibility analysis, competitive landscape, and scenarios.