HG
Strong BuyFull HouseAI pickHamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. · Financial Services · Bermuda · $3.3B
$34.13 +1.1% · close 2 Oct · scored 3 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
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Hamilton Insurance is aggressively leaning into modern, AI-integrated compliance and wholesale-focused risk underwriting. As the $4.4 trillion financial crime wave forces a massive capex cycle in security infrastructure, Hamilton's strategic pivot positions it to capture the premium shift in the financial services sector. The company’s active buyback program signals management's confidence in this structural moat.
ABOUT HAMILTON INSURANCE GROUP, LTD.
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Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. is a Bermuda-based global specialty insurance and reinsurance company that writes business through its underwriting platforms in Lloyd's, Bermuda, and the United States. The company's competitive moat is defined by its data-driven underwriting approach, which utilizes advanced analytics and proprietary technology to price risk more accurately across complex specialty lines. Hamilton's diversified portfolio and strategic relationship with sophisticated investment managers allow it to optimize both underwriting and investment income throughout the market cycle.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.3B | 1.6B | 2.4B | 3.0B | 32.2% | 3.0B | 2.9B | 3.0B | 1.2% |
| EPS | -0.89 | 2.47 | 3.81 | 5.75 | 52.6% | 5.72 | 5.98 | 5.64 | -0.9% |
| Shares | 110.0M | 110.2M | 101.5M | 99.0M | -10.0% | — | — | — | — |
| Debt | 149.7M | 149.8M | 149.9M | 149.7M | 0.0% | 149.8M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.7B | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.8B | 19.2% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 190.9M | 283.2M | 759.3M | 842.4M | 64.0% | 815.2M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | 133.1M | -652.1M | -184.2M | -414.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -69.6M | 59.0M | -362.7M | -376.2M | — | — | — | — | — |
Calmer than 79% of stocks we rank over the past year (27% a year).
How this is worked out
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Financial Services, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of HG are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HG | Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.(you) | $3.3B | 93 | Strong Buy |
| SPNT | SiriusPoint Ltd. | $3.0B | 77 | Buy |
| CRE.L | Conduit Holdings Limited | $853M | 93 | Strong Buy |
| RNR | RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $13.7B | 88 | Strong Buy |
| EG | Everest Group, Ltd. | $14.3B | 82 | Strong Buy |
| PLGO | Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit | $2.0B | 90 | Strong Buy |
| LRE.L | Lancashire Holdings Limited | $2.1B | 88 | Strong Buy |
| ESNT | Essent Group Ltd. | $5.9B | 81 | Strong Buy |
| NTB | The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited | $2.3B | 75 | Buy |
| WTM | White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. | $4.8B | 74 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 17.6% · P/E 7.0x · Gross margin 38.8%
Company Deep Dive
Read the full research report: business segments breakdown, earnings transcripts review, management credibility analysis, competitive landscape, and scenarios.