AGO
HoldUnloved QualityAssured Guaranty Ltd. · Financial Services · Bermuda · $3.3B · Avg Vol: $32M/d
Unloved Quality: Strong and cheap, but the market has not turned yet. Patience required.
ABOUT ASSURED GUARANTY LTD.
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Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a leading financial guarantor providing credit protection products to the U.S. and international public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets. It primarily insures municipal bonds and other financial obligations, enhancing their credit ratings and reducing borrowing costs for issuers. Assured Guaranty maintains a dominant market position in the municipal bond insurance sector, benefiting from a high claims-paying ability and long-standing relationships with municipalities and institutional investors.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 684.0M | 1.0B | 814.0M | 1.0B | 14.4% | 813.0M | 816.0M | 779.0M | -12.8% |
| EPS | 2.10 | 12.54 | 7.44 | 11.13 | 74.3% | 7.52 | 8.60 | 8.63 | -11.9% |
| Shares | 59.0M | 56.2M | 50.5M | 45.2M | -23.4% | 44.0M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 1.7B | 1.7B | 1.7B | 1.7B | 0.6% | 1.7B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 5.1B | 5.7B | 5.5B | 5.7B | 3.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -2.5B | 461.0M | 47.0M | 259.0M | -25.0% | 324.0M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | 1.7B | 286.0M | 780.0M | 641.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 612.0M | -670.0M | -983.0M | -616.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Financial Services, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of AGO are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGO | Assured Guaranty Ltd.(you) | $3.3B | 40 | Hold |
| AXS | AXIS Capital Holdings Limited | $7.3B | 53 | Hold |
| LRE.L | Lancashire Holdings Limited | $2.0B | 89 | Strong Buy |
| ESNT | Essent Group Ltd. | $6.2B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| OCI.L | Oakley Capital Investments Limited | $1.2B | 50 | Hold |
| SPNT | SiriusPoint Ltd. | $2.8B | 76 | Buy |
| WTM | White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. | $5.1B | 73 | Buy |
| NTB | The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited | $2.3B | 76 | Buy |
| HSX.L | Hiscox Ltd | $7.9B | 75 | Buy |
| BNT.TO | Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. | $10.9B | 11 | Strong Sell |
Peer medians: ROE 19.8% · P/E 6.9x · Gross margin 38.8%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.