AOMR
SinkerAngel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. · Real Estate · United States · $184M cap · $762K/day traded
$6.18 -0.3% · close 11 Nov · scored 11 Nov
Sinker: Weak business, rich price and weak momentum. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
Around its 5 Nov results, analysts cut next year's EPS estimate 2.4%.
As of 11 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. (AOMR) is 16/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 28, Value 37, Momentum 31, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT ANGEL OAK MORTGAGE REIT, INC.
Read
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. is a real estate finance company focused on acquiring and managing residential mortgage loans, particularly non-qualified mortgages (non-QM). The company's competitive moat is its direct integration with Angel Oak's leading non-QM origination platform, ensuring a steady pipeline of high-yielding assets. It operates as a specialized mortgage REIT targeting underserved creditworthy borrowers.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -157.9M | 54.9M | 51.5M | 61.0M | 5.4% | 10.9M | 68.0M | 68.0M | 5.6% |
| EPS | -7.65 | 1.36 | 1.18 | 1.85 | 16.6% | -0.43 | 1.13 | 1.31 | -15.8% |
| Shares | 24.9M | 25.0M | 23.5M | 24.9M | -0.0% | 23.4M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 1.6B | 1.5B | 1.8B | 2.2B | 10.6% | 2.5B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 236.5M | 256.1M | 239.0M | 267.5M | 4.2% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -331.1M | 306.4M | -221.5M | -407.0M | — | -342.1M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | 664.3M | -194.1M | 120.5M | 13.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -345.7M | -107.7M | 99.3M | 395.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 2 trading days ago, 31% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Calmer than 77% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 28% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of AOMR are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| AOMR | Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc.(you) | $184M | 16 |
| MITT | TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. | $173M | 15 |
| ACR | ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. | $183M | 19 |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation | $186M | 21 |
| RC | Ready Capital Corporation | $174M | 5 |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | $337M | 15 |
| CMTG | Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $171M | 4 |
| RPT | Rithm Property Trust Inc. | $88M | 20 |
| CHMI | Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation | $96M | 26 |
| RWT | Redwood Trust, Inc. | $399M | 7 |
Peer medians: ROE 4.3% · P/E 23.9x · Gross margin 65.4%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.