MITT
Bargain BinTPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. · Real Estate · United States · $173M cap · $1.9M/day traded
$4.23 -3.6% · close 11 Nov · scored 11 Nov
Bargain Bin: Looks like a bargain; the quality and the trend say why it is in the bin.
As of 11 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (MITT) is 15/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 19, Value 57, Momentum 18, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT TPG MORTGAGE INVESTMENT TRUST, INC.
Read
TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in, acquires, and manages a diversified portfolio of residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and other real estate-related assets. Its competitive moat stems from its strategic investment strategies, sophisticated risk management, and affiliation with TPG, a leading global investment firm. As a mortgage REIT, it provides investors with exposure to the real estate credit market and targets attractive risk-adjusted returns.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -7.4M | 54.9M | 75.3M | 75.7M | 17.4% | 54.5M | 81.7M | 90.0M | 9.1% |
| EPS | -3.12 | 1.68 | 1.23 | 0.90 | -26.8% | 0.74 | 0.98 | 1.18 | 14.7% |
| Shares | 21.3M | 29.4M | 29.6M | 31.7M | +49.1% | 31.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 3.9B | 5.6B | 6.3B | 8.1B | 27.8% | 7.2B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 462.8M | 528.4M | 543.4M | 560.7M | 6.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 22.5M | 28.1M | 55.8M | 59.6M | 38.3% | 59.6M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -1.5B | -433.5M | -713.1M | -1.7B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 1.5B | 432.1M | 670.3M | 1.5B | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low in the latest session, 47% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Calmer than 69% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 32% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of MITT are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| MITT | TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc.(you) | $173M | 15 |
| AOMR | Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. | $184M | 16 |
| ACR | ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. | $183M | 19 |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation | $186M | 21 |
| RC | Ready Capital Corporation | $174M | 5 |
| CMTG | Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $171M | 4 |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | $337M | 15 |
| RPT | Rithm Property Trust Inc. | $88M | 20 |
| CHMI | Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation | $96M | 26 |
| RWT | Redwood Trust, Inc. | $399M | 7 |
Peer medians: ROE 4.3% · P/E 24.0x · Gross margin 65.4%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.