DINO
Strong BuyFull HouseAI screen passHF Sinclair Corporation · Energy · United States · $18.9B
$115.63 +0.9% · close 7 Oct · scored 9 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
Read our full research report on DINO (Jun 2026), freeAs of 9 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) is 97/100: Quality 66, Value 51, Momentum 88, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets.
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
HF Sinclair operates complex refining, renewables, and midstream logistics assets across the United States with strong operating execution. Management has aggressively returned capital via an active share repurchase program that retired over two percent of shares outstanding recently, while forward consensus earnings revisions have surged higher. Favorable regional crack spreads and firm refined-product demand provide sustained cash generation visibility.
ABOUT HF SINCLAIR CORPORATION
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HF Sinclair Corporation is a diversified energy company primarily engaged in petroleum refining and marketing, alongside operating extensive pipelines, terminals, and producing renewable fuels. The company leverages its strategically located and technologically advanced refining assets in the Mid-Continent and Southwest U.S., complemented by integrated logistics and a growing renewable diesel business.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 38.2B | 32.0B | 28.6B | 26.9B | -11.1% | 31.2B | 34.9B | 32.0B | 9.1% |
| EPS | 14.28 | 8.29 | 0.91 | 3.08 | -40.0% | 10.49 | 16.67 | 12.74 | 103.4% |
| Shares | 197.1M | 200.0M | 188.4M | 181.8M | -7.8% | 177.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 3.6B | 3.2B | 3.1B | 3.2B | -3.7% | 3.3B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 9.2B | 10.2B | 9.3B | 9.2B | -0.2% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 3.8B | 2.3B | 1.1B | 1.3B | -29.7% | 2.8B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -774.0M | -371.0M | -468.0M | -516.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -1.6B | -2.2B | -1.2B | -631.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 2% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 54% of stocks we rank over the past year (39% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of DINO are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corporation(you) | $18.9B | 97 | Strong Buy |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | $14.1B | 75 | Buy |
| PARR | Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | $3.9B | 100 | Strong Buy |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corporation | $109.1B | 96 | Strong Buy |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | $102.8B | 92 | Strong Buy |
| VLO | Valero Energy Corporation | $108.2B | 91 | Strong Buy |
| DK | Delek US Holdings, Inc. | $4.4B | 85 | Strong Buy |
| PBF | PBF Energy Inc. | $8.4B | 72 | Buy |
| CVI | CVR Energy, Inc. | $5.2B | 68 | Buy |
| SGU | Star Group, L.P. | $420M | 96 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 9.4% · P/E 16.7x · Gross margin 43.8%
Company Deep Dive
Read the full research report: business segments breakdown, earnings transcripts review, management credibility analysis, competitive landscape, and scenarios.