ARI
HoldFallen FavouriteApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. · Real Estate · United States · $805M · Avg Vol: $16M/d
Fallen Favourite: A good business that is expensive and falling. Wait for the price to catch up.
ABOUT APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCE, INC.
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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance is a real estate investment trust (REIT) primarily engaged in originating and investing in senior and mezzanine commercial mortgage loans and other debt instruments secured by transitional properties. Leveraging its affiliation with Apollo Global Management, the company benefits from significant origination capabilities and deep credit expertise in a specialized lending market. ARI offers investors exposure to commercial real estate debt, paying out a substantial portion of its income as dividends.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 368.8M | 266.0M | 195.7M | 272.8M | -9.6% | 624.3M | 42.0M | -84.6% |
| EPS | 1.77 | 0.29 | -0.97 | 0.81 | -22.9% | 0.80 | 0.45 | -45.0% |
| Shares | 140.6M | 141.4M | 138.2M | 138.9M | -1.2% | 128.5M | — | — |
| Debt | 7.0B | 7.0B | 6.4B | 7.9B | 4.3% | — | — | — |
| Equity | 2.4B | 2.2B | 1.9B | 1.9B | -7.6% | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 267.7M | 273.9M | 200.3M | 142.5M | -19.0% | 86.5M | — | — |
| Inv CF | -1.3B | 68.4M | 577.2M | -1.4B | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 958.0M | -343.4M | -689.3M | 1.1B | — | — | — | — |
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of ARI are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.(you) | $805M | 49 | Hold |
| MFA | MFA Financial, Inc. | $841M | 46 | Hold |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. | $704M | 34 | Sell |
| PMT | PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust | $849M | 30 | Sell |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital, Inc. | $1.2B | 36 | Hold |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. | $2.1B | 46 | Hold |
| FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. | $620M | 30 | Sell |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. | $524M | 31 | Sell |
| DX | Dynex Capital, Inc. | $2.9B | 47 | Hold |
| LADR | Ladder Capital Corp | $1.2B | 29 | Sell |
Peer medians: ROE 4.6% · P/E 23.5x · Gross margin 66.9%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.