EFC
HoldHot AirFLAGEllington Financial Inc. · Real Estate · United States · $1.6B · Avg Vol: $14M/d
Hot Air: Rising on momentum alone: weak business, rich price.
Insufficient evidence for a screen-pass. Ellington Financial Inc.: fails the quant gate on quality, value (Q36/V47/M74; every leg must be >= 50). Absence of evidence is neutral; nothing adverse is known.
The ranks quoted here are from the day it was written; today's Quality, Value and Momentum are the bars above.
ABOUT ELLINGTON FINANCIAL INC.
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Ellington Financial Inc. is an externally managed mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests in a diversified portfolio of mortgage-related assets, including residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities, mortgage loans, and other credit assets. The company distinguishes itself through its active investment management approach, seeking to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns across various market conditions by opportunistically deploying capital. Ellington Financial's strategy extends beyond traditional agency MBS, focusing on credit-sensitive assets.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 43.1M | 256.5M | 282.2M | 306.5M | 92.2% | 431.4M | 422.2M | 467.2M | 23.5% |
| EPS | -1.43 | 0.89 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 15.6% | 1.60 | 1.34 | 1.27 | 3.1% |
| Shares | 63.8M | 83.0M | 90.7M | 113.1M | +77.3% | 128.9M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 12.4B | 13.3B | 14.2B | 17.0B | 11.0% | 18.6B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.2B | 1.5B | 1.6B | 1.8B | 15.3% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 42.7M | -241.9M | -430.5M | -925.5M | — | -617.6M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -1.8B | 174.9M | -728.3M | -4.1B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 1.8B | 75.6M | 1.1B | 5.1B | — | — | — | — | — |
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of EFC are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFC | Ellington Financial Inc.(you) | $1.6B | 64 | Hold |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. | $2.1B | 46 | Hold |
| ADAM | Adamas Trust, Inc. | $758M | 76 | Buy |
| DX | Dynex Capital, Inc. | $2.9B | 47 | Hold |
| ARI | Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $805M | 49 | Hold |
| MFA | MFA Financial, Inc. | $841M | 46 | Hold |
| NREF | NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $364M | 68 | Buy |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital, Inc. | $1.2B | 36 | Hold |
| REFI | Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. | $274M | 66 | Buy |
| LADR | Ladder Capital Corp | $1.2B | 29 | Sell |
Peer medians: ROE 4.6% · P/E 23.5x · Gross margin 66.9%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.