CIM
SinkerChimera Investment Corporation · Real Estate · United States · $704M cap · $11.7M/day traded
$6.77 -3.1% · close 11 Nov · scored 11 Nov
Sinker: Weak business, rich price and weak momentum. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
Around its 5 Nov results, analysts left next year's EPS estimate little changed.
As of 11 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM) is 15/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 27, Value 41, Momentum 26, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT CHIMERA INVESTMENT CORPORATION
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Chimera Investment Corporation is a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests in a diversified portfolio of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), residential mortgage loans, and other real estate-related assets. It leverages a sophisticated investment management strategy and expertise in fixed-income markets to generate income from interest rate spreads. CIM is an externally managed mREIT focused on generating income through strategic investments in mortgage-related assets.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -415.2M | 204.8M | 257.9M | 356.8M | 32.0% | 57.0M | 404.6M | 399.6M | 5.8% |
| EPS | -7.53 | 0.69 | 1.12 | 1.76 | 59.7% | -3.09 | 2.08 | 2.17 | 11.1% |
| Shares | 77.3M | 80.5M | 80.9M | 83.4M | +7.9% | 83.7M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 10.6B | 10.1B | 10.0B | 13.1B | 7.2% | 14.0B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 2.7B | 2.6B | 2.5B | 2.6B | -1.2% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 325.7M | 213.3M | 205.7M | -248.9M | -20.5% | -649.0M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | 509.8M | 551.8M | 178.2M | -1.7B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -956.7M | -807.9M | -521.6M | 2.1B | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low in the latest session, 46% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Calmer than 78% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 28% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CIM are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIM | Chimera Investment Corporation(you) | $704M | 15 |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. | $604M | 15 |
| MFA | MFA Financial, Inc. | $673M | 22 |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital, Inc. | $997M | 13 |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | $592M | 8 |
| PMT | PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust | $849M | 25 |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. | $337M | 15 |
| ADAM | Adamas Trust, Inc. | $702M | 31 |
| BRSP | BrightSpire Capital, Inc. | $463M | 25 |
| BXMT | Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. | $1.8B | 15 |
Peer medians: ROE 4.3% · P/E 23.9x · Gross margin 65.7%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.