UFCS
Strong BuyFull HouseAI screen passUnited Fire Group, Inc. · Financial Services · United States · $1.4B cap · $8.2M/day traded
$56.00 +1.6% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
StockRank down 2.4 since 13 Oct.
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) is 86/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 57, Value 52, Momentum 75, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
United Fire Group is balanced at Q60 V60 M72 with insiders buying and nothing adverse on record. Property and casualty insurers earn genuinely more on float when rates stay high, and the momentum leg suggests the market is starting to price the improved underwriting cycle.
The ranks quoted here are from the day it was written; today's Quality, Value and Momentum are the bars above.
ABOUT UNITED FIRE GROUP, INC.
Read
United Fire Group, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance company offering commercial and personal insurance products, alongside life insurance and annuities, primarily in the United States. It operates through an independent agency distribution network, building relationships and specializing in certain niches or regions to provide tailored insurance solutions. United Fire Group is a regional insurance provider focusing on a diversified portfolio of property, casualty, and life insurance, committed to its independent agent partnerships.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 988.2M | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.4B | 12.0% | 1.5B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 17.2% |
| EPS | 3.21 | 0.60 | -1.18 | 2.44 | 4.63 | 9.6% | 5.39 | 5.02 | 4.87 | 2.6% |
| Shares | — | 25.2M | 25.3M | 25.4M | 25.5M | +1.2% | 25.7M | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | 50.0M | 50.0M | 117.1M | 146.2M | 43.0% | 146.3M | — | — | — |
| Equity | — | 740.1M | 733.7M | 781.5M | 941.2M | 8.3% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | — | -1.3M | 171.7M | 340.3M | 269.7M | 25.3% | 271.6M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | — | -19.2M | -149.9M | -292.5M | -326.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | -15.0M | -16.5M | 51.1M | 11.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 1% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 69% of stocks we rank over the past year (32% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Financial Services, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of UFCS are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFCS | United Fire Group, Inc.(you) | $1.4B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| ASIC | Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co | $1.3B | 83 | Strong Buy |
| UVE | Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $1.2B | 96 | Strong Buy |
| SAFT | Safety Insurance Group, Inc. | $1.5B | 75 | Buy |
| HIPO | Hippo Holdings Inc. | $784M | 83 | Strong Buy |
| HCI | HCI Group, Inc. | $2.2B | 94 | Strong Buy |
| HRTG | Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | $983M | 97 | Strong Buy |
| SKWD | Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | $2.4B | 79 | Buy |
| PRCH | Porch Group, Inc. | $1.9B | 71 | Buy |
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators Corporation | $1.9B | 71 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 9.7% · P/E 12.4x · Gross margin 100.0%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.